{"jours_avant": 175, "etapes": [175, 120, 90, 60, 30, 1], "elections": [{"annee": 1958, "date_premier_tour": "1958-12-21", "elu": "Charles de Gaulle", "note": "Élu par un collège d'environ 80 000 grands électeurs, avec 78,51 % des voix : pas de campagne au suffrage universel, ni de sondage.", "indirect": true, "candidats": {"Charles de Gaulle": {"court": "de Gaulle", "slot": 1}}}, {"annee": 1965, "date_premier_tour": "1965-12-05", "elu": "Charles de Gaulle", "candidats": {"Charles de Gaulle": {"court": "de Gaulle", "slot": 1}}, "etapes": {"175": {"date": "1965-06-13", "absence": "Aucun sondage publié à ce stade de la campagne."}, "120": {"date": "1965-08-07", "absence": "Aucun sondage publié à ce stade de la campagne."}, "90": {"date": "1965-09-06", "absence": "Aucun sondage publié à ce stade de la campagne."}, "60": {"date": "1965-10-06", "absence": "Aucun sondage publié à ce stade de la campagne."}, "30": {"date": "1965-11-05", "favori": "Charles de Gaulle", "p_favori": 1.0, "p_elu": 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avril 1969 : à ce stade, elle n'était pas prévue."}, "60": {"date": "1969-04-02", "absence": "Élection anticipée après la démission du général de Gaulle, le 28 avril 1969 : à ce stade, elle n'était pas prévue."}, "30": {"date": "1969-05-02", "absence": "Aucun sondage publié à ce stade de la campagne."}, "1": {"date": "1969-05-31", "favori": "Alain Poher", "p_favori": 0.961, "p_elu": 0.0386, "issue": "battu", "rang_favori": 2, "n_hypotheses": 10, "instituts": ["Ifop", "Sofres"]}}, "courbe": {"j": [22, 15, 8, 1], "series": {"Georges Pompidou": [0.504, 0.5031, 0.0374, 0.0383], "Alain Poher": [0.496, 0.4969, 0.9626, 0.9613]}}}, {"annee": 1974, "date_premier_tour": "1974-05-05", "elu": "Valéry Giscard d'Estaing", "candidats": {"Valéry Giscard d'Estaing": {"court": "Giscard d'Estaing", "slot": 3}}, "etapes": {"175": {"date": "1973-11-11", "absence": "Élection anticipée après la mort de Georges Pompidou, le 2 avril 1974 : à ce stade, elle n'était pas prévue."}, "120": {"date": "1974-01-05", "absence": "Élection anticipée après la mort de Georges Pompidou, le 2 avril 1974 : à ce stade, elle n'était pas prévue."}, "90": {"date": "1974-02-04", "absence": "Élection anticipée après la mort de Georges Pompidou, le 2 avril 1974 : à ce stade, elle n'était pas prévue."}, "60": {"date": "1974-03-06", "absence": "Élection anticipée après la mort de Georges Pompidou, le 2 avril 1974 : à ce stade, elle n'était pas prévue."}, "30": {"date": "1974-04-05", "absence": "Aucun sondage publié à ce stade de la campagne."}, "1": {"date": "1974-05-04", "favori": "Valéry Giscard d'Estaing", "p_favori": 0.5678, "p_elu": 0.5678, "issue": "gagne", "rang_favori": 2, "n_hypotheses": 9, "instituts": ["Ifop", "TNS Sofres"]}}, "courbe": {"j": [22, 15, 8, 1], "series": {"Valéry Giscard d'Estaing": [0.1567, 0.3466, 0.7542, 0.5618]}}}, {"annee": 1981, "date_premier_tour": "1981-04-26", "elu": "François Mitterrand", "candidats": {"François Mitterrand": {"court": "Mitterrand", "slot": 5}, "Valéry Giscard 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"Jacques Delors", "p_favori": 0.5096, "p_elu": 0.0029, "issue": "absent", "rang_favori": null, "n_hypotheses": 3, "instituts": ["Ipsos", "TNS Sofres"]}, "90": {"date": "1995-01-23", "favori": "Édouard Balladur", "p_favori": 0.9716, "p_elu": 0.0045, "issue": "elimine", "rang_favori": 3, "n_hypotheses": 1, "instituts": ["TNS Sofres"]}, "60": {"date": "1995-02-22", "favori": "Édouard Balladur", "p_favori": 0.974, "p_elu": 0.0128, "issue": "elimine", "rang_favori": 3, "n_hypotheses": 3, "instituts": ["TNS Sofres"]}, "30": {"date": "1995-03-24", "favori": "Jacques Chirac", "p_favori": 0.9702, "p_elu": 0.9702, "issue": "gagne", "rang_favori": 2, "n_hypotheses": 6, "instituts": ["TNS Sofres"]}, "1": {"date": "1995-04-22", "favori": "Jacques Chirac", "p_favori": 0.9792, "p_elu": 0.9792, "issue": "gagne", "rang_favori": 2, "n_hypotheses": 9, "instituts": ["TNS Sofres"]}}, "courbe": {"j": [204, 197, 190, 183, 176, 169, 162, 155, 148, 141, 134, 127, 120, 113, 106, 99, 92, 85, 78, 71, 64, 57, 50, 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"2001-10-28", "favori": "Lionel Jospin", "p_favori": 0.52, "p_elu": 0.4424, "issue": "elimine", "rang_favori": 3, "n_hypotheses": 6, "instituts": ["CSA", "Ifop", "Ipsos", "Sofres"]}, "120": {"date": "2001-12-22", "favori": "Jacques Chirac", "p_favori": 0.635, "p_elu": 0.635, "issue": "gagne", "rang_favori": 1, "n_hypotheses": 6, "instituts": ["CSA", "Ipsos", "Sofres"]}, "90": {"date": "2002-01-21", "favori": "Jacques Chirac", "p_favori": 0.5813, "p_elu": 0.5813, "issue": "gagne", "rang_favori": 1, "n_hypotheses": 15, "instituts": ["BVA", "CSA", "Ifop", "Ipsos", "Louis Harris", "Sofres"]}, "60": {"date": "2002-02-20", "favori": "Lionel Jospin", "p_favori": 0.4981, "p_elu": 0.4962, "issue": "elimine", "rang_favori": 3, "n_hypotheses": 25, "instituts": ["BVA", "CSA", "Ifop", "Ipsos", "Louis Harris", "Sofres"]}, "30": {"date": "2002-03-22", "favori": "Lionel Jospin", "p_favori": 0.6167, "p_elu": 0.3831, "issue": "elimine", "rang_favori": 3, "n_hypotheses": 30, "instituts": ["BVA", "CSA", 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"elu": "Nicolas Sarkozy", "candidats": {"Nicolas Sarkozy": {"court": "Sarkozy", "slot": 1}}, "etapes": {"175": {"date": "2006-10-29", "favori": "Nicolas Sarkozy", "p_favori": 0.5716, "p_elu": 0.5716, "issue": "gagne", "rang_favori": 1, "n_hypotheses": 4, "instituts": ["CSA", "Ifop", "Sofres"]}, "120": {"date": "2006-12-23", "favori": "Nicolas Sarkozy", "p_favori": 0.5217, "p_elu": 0.5217, "issue": "gagne", "rang_favori": 1, "n_hypotheses": 10, "instituts": ["CSA", "Ifop", "Ipsos", "Sofres"]}, "90": {"date": "2007-01-22", "favori": "Nicolas Sarkozy", "p_favori": 0.6476, "p_elu": 0.6476, "issue": "gagne", "rang_favori": 1, "n_hypotheses": 13, "instituts": ["CSA", "Ifop", "Ipsos", "Sofres"]}, "60": {"date": "2007-02-21", "favori": "Nicolas Sarkozy", "p_favori": 0.7874, "p_elu": 0.7874, "issue": "gagne", "rang_favori": 1, "n_hypotheses": 12, "instituts": ["CSA", "Ifop", "Ipsos", "Sofres"]}, "30": {"date": "2007-03-23", "favori": "Nicolas Sarkozy", "p_favori": 0.7648, "p_elu": 0.7648, "issue": "gagne", "rang_favori": 1, "n_hypotheses": 19, "instituts": ["BVA", "CSA", "Ifop", "Ipsos"]}, "1": {"date": "2007-04-21", "favori": "Nicolas Sarkozy", "p_favori": 0.7794, "p_elu": 0.7794, "issue": "gagne", "rang_favori": 1, "n_hypotheses": 39, "instituts": ["BVA", "CSA", "Ifop", "Ipsos", "LH2"]}}, "courbe": {"j": [197, 190, 183, 176, 169, 162, 155, 148, 141, 134, 127, 120, 113, 106, 99, 92, 85, 78, 71, 64, 57, 50, 43, 36, 29, 22, 15, 8, 1], "series": {"Nicolas Sarkozy": [0.5159, 0.6673, 0.569, 0.569, 0.569, 0.5834, 0.5035, 0.5051, 0.5443, 0.5452, 0.5184, 0.5184, 0.5184, 0.4918, 0.4778, 0.6066, 0.6506, 0.7401, 0.7634, 0.8287, 0.7867, 0.7511, 0.7807, 0.7098, 0.7379, 0.7085, 0.8094, 0.8064, 0.7736]}}}, {"annee": 2012, "date_premier_tour": "2012-04-22", "elu": "François Hollande", "candidats": {"François Hollande": {"court": "Hollande", "slot": 5}}, "etapes": {"175": {"date": "2011-10-30", "favori": "François Hollande", "p_favori": 0.8444, "p_elu": 0.8444, "issue": "gagne", "rang_favori": 1, "n_hypotheses": 2, "instituts": ["Ifop", "Ipsos"]}, "120": {"date": "2011-12-24", "favori": "François Hollande", "p_favori": 0.8712, "p_elu": 0.8712, "issue": "gagne", "rang_favori": 1, "n_hypotheses": 19, "instituts": ["BVA", "CSA", "Harris", "Ifop", "Ipsos", "LH2", "OpinionWay", "Sofres"]}, "90": {"date": "2012-01-23", "favori": "François Hollande", "p_favori": 0.8436, "p_elu": 0.8436, "issue": "gagne", "rang_favori": 1, "n_hypotheses": 20, "instituts": ["BVA", "CSA", "Harris", "Ifop", "Ipsos", "LH2", "OpinionWay", "Sofres"]}, "60": {"date": "2012-02-22", "favori": "François Hollande", "p_favori": 0.9331, "p_elu": 0.9331, "issue": "gagne", "rang_favori": 1, "n_hypotheses": 23, "instituts": ["BVA", "CSA", "Harris", "Ifop", "Ipsos", "LH2", "OpinionWay", "Sofres"]}, "30": {"date": "2012-03-23", "favori": "François Hollande", "p_favori": 0.9396, "p_elu": 0.9396, "issue": "gagne", "rang_favori": 1, "n_hypotheses": 41, "instituts": ["BVA", "CSA", "Harris", "Ifop", 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